SPECIAL ANALYSIS

Special Analysis: Walmart vs Target in Q3 2025

Mar. 01, 2026| 10 min. read

Frequently Asked Questions

Answers based on RetailStat's analysis of Special Analysis: Walmart vs Target in Q3 2025

Walmart posted $179.5 billion in sales, up 5.8% year-over-year, with comps up 4.4%. Target's sales fell to $25.3 billion, down 1.6% year-over-year, with comps down 2.7%, reflecting a more pressured discretionary backdrop.

Walmart is leveraging its healthy grocery business and evolving toward a higher-margin platform, with advertising revenue up 53% and membership income up 9%. Target remains heavily exposed to out-of-favor discretionary categories like Home and Apparel as consumers focus on value.

Walmart increased capital spending by about $1.9 billion to accelerate automation and store-fulfilled delivery, with over 60% of stores now receiving automated freight. Target announced $5 billion in 2026 capex, about $1 billion more than FY25, to close the technology gap.

Walmart's U.S. online sales grew 28%, its seventh consecutive quarter of 20%+ e-commerce growth. Target's digital comps rose 2.4%, led by 35%+ growth in same-day delivery via Circle 360.

Walmart raised its full-year guidance to sales growth of 4.8% to 5.1% and is playing offense into Q4. Target maintained guidance for a low-single-digit comp sales decline as it continues merchandising and value-focused turnaround efforts.

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