SPECIAL ANALYSIS

Mass Merchandiser Sales Trends: Walmart, Target, Costco and Value Retailers

Jul. 22, 2026| 15 min. read

Frequently Asked Questions

Answers based on RetailStat's analysis of Mass Merchandiser Sales Trends: Walmart, Target, Costco and Value Retailers

The sector's average U.S. comparable sales growth accelerated to 6.5%, up from 5.3% in 4Q25, with clubs and value-oriented formats again leading the group.

Five Below stood out, with comps accelerating to 22.7% from 15.4% in 4Q25 and EBITDA nearly doubling. PriceSmart also posted strong results at 10.7% comps.

Yes — Target posted comps up 5.6% and traffic up 4.4%, aided by category resets and newness initiatives, though RetailStat cautions the improvement remains execution-dependent given easier prior-year comparisons.

Walmart's U.S. comps ex-fuel rose 4.1%, its strongest transaction growth in six quarters, with online sales up 26% and advertising up 37% globally. Costco posted comps of 6.6% ex-fuel on 2.4% traffic growth, with digitally enabled comp growth of 21.5%.

The fading whitespace tailwind from 2024's Family Dollar and Big Lots closures should weigh more on dollar and closeout operators' comps, while the upcoming back-to-school season should provide a modest sector-wide boost. Tariffs remain a fluid variable as the IEEPA refund process continues to unfold.

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